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August '25 Deep Dive - East Bay

Ascend RE September 10, 2025

August '25 Deep Dive - East Bay

The Local Lowdown

Quick Take:

  • Median sale prices in the East Bay have declined for six consecutive months.

  • Inventory is rising as sales slow.

  • Listings are spending more time on the market.

Note: You can find the charts/graphs for the Local Lowdown at the end of this section.

 

Prices continue to soften across the East Bay

For the sixth straight month, East Bay prices have posted year-over-year declines. In July, single-family home prices fell 2.08% in Alameda County and 6.56% in Contra Costa County. Condos saw even steeper drops, down 11.54% in Contra Costa and 16.00% in Alameda. That said, these declines are not accelerating—values are holding at a lower plateau, rather than sliding further each month.

Rising inventory keeps pressure on prices

The price softening is tied closely to inventory trends. More listings are lingering on the market, and fewer sales are closing. In July, single-family sales dropped 6.17% year-over-year, while active listings rose 15.68%. Condo sales fell 24.82%, while active listings climbed 9.48%. Notably, new condo listings were down 10.58%, a sign that sellers may be hesitating in this environment.

Homes are spending longer on the market

The East Bay has historically moved quickly, but that pace is slowing. In July, the average single-family home spent 16 days on the market in Alameda County and 18 days in Contra Costa, compared to just 13 days in both counties last year. Condos are experiencing even longer timelines—31 days in Alameda and 35 days in Contra Costa—up significantly from 19 and 24 days last July.

Single-family homes still favor sellers; condos favor buyers

MSI tells us the East Bay single-family home market remains a seller’s market, with supply at just 2.1 months in Alameda and 2.7 months in Contra Costa. Condos, however, lean toward buyers, with 4.5 months of supply in Alameda and 4.2 months in Contra Costa.

 

Bottom Line:


The East Bay market is slowing, but not collapsing. Single-family homes remain competitive despite price softening, while condos are firmly in buyer territory. Sellers should price strategically, while buyers may find better value than in neighboring markets.

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