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July '25 Deep Dive - North Bay

Ascend RE August 12, 2025

Newsletter

July '25 Deep Dive - North Bay

The Local Lowdown

Quick Take:

  • The condo market remains volatile, while single-family pricing is steady.

  • June brought a steep drop in inventory due to fewer new listings.

  • Despite lower supply, homes are taking longer to sell than last year.

Note: Charts/graphs for the Local Lowdown are located at the end of this section.

Single-family prices hold steady

Single-family median prices rose 2.92% in Sonoma and 5.60% in Napa compared to last year, while Marin and Solano saw declines of 5.35% and 5.23%, respectively. Condos remain more volatile, particularly in Marin and Napa, while Sonoma and Solano have stayed within stable pricing bands.

Inventory posts one of the sharpest drops in recent years

From May to June, single-family inventory fell 19.34% month-over-month (7.09% YoY), while condo inventory dropped 19.76% (flat year-over-year). June was the slowest for new listings in years, signaling hesitancy among sellers.

Listings linger despite tight supply

Year-over-year, single-family days on market rose 21.43% in Sonoma, 25% in Marin, 30.77% in Solano, and 16.67% in Napa. This may be a lagging effect from slower spring sales, but it bears watching in coming months.

Mixed market conditions by county

Single-family markets in Marin (2.8 months) and Solano (2.9 months) are balanced, while Sonoma (3.7 months) and Napa (7 months) lean toward buyers. All condo markets are buyer-friendly, with Napa holding the highest supply at 8.1 months.

Bottom Line:

The North Bay is stable for single-family homes, but condos remain volatile and largely buyer-favored. Inventory dropped sharply in June, and seller hesitation could shape the rest of the summer market.

 

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