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February Market Deep Dive - Silicon Valley

Ascend RE February 20, 2025

February Market Deep Dive - Silicon Valley

The Local Lowdown

Quick Take:

  • Despite an incredibly strong year in terms of value appreciation, median sale prices in the month of January increased on a year-over-year basis in most of Silicon Valley.

  • Although a lot of new single family home inventory was added in Silicon Valley throughout January, total active inventory is still slightly trailing last year’s figures.

  • New listings continue to get snapped up incredibly quickly, as buyers are forced into fierce competition.

Single-family home prices continue to grow in the Silicon Valley

Silicon Valley remained resilient to high mortgage rates in 2024, with prices rising in Santa Clara (5.88%) and Santa Cruz (3.36%) but dipping in San Mateo (-2.44%) this January. Despite rate hikes, buyers remain active—further cuts in 2025 could fuel another price surge!

Condo inventory begins to build in Silicon Valley

Single-family home inventory in Silicon Valley is flat year-over-year, but condo inventory is rising, up 36.62% with new listings up 45.2%. Current levels match last April’s, signaling potential condo buying opportunities ahead!

A divergence in the time listings are spending on the market

Single-family homes are selling fast, averaging 14 days on the market in San Mateo, 12 in Santa Clara, and 32 in Santa Cruz—down 36.36% and 20% year-over-year in San Mateo and Santa Cruz. Meanwhile, condos are taking longer to sell, with market time up 12.9% in Santa Clara and 6.45% in Santa Cruz.

Sellers continue to have bargaining power in Silicon Valley

Months of Supply Inventory (MSI) defines market balance, with three months as California’s average. Below three months is a sellers’ market; above is a buyers’ market.Silicon Valley’s single-family home market favors sellers, with MSI at 1 (San Mateo), 0.7 (Santa Clara), and 2.3 (Santa Cruz). Condos are mixed—San Mateo (2.2) and Santa Clara (2) favor sellers, while Santa Cruz (3.7) leans toward buyers.

 

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