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East Bay Housing Market Update - January 2026

Ascend RE January 20, 2026

East Bay Housing Market Update - January 2026

The Local Lowdown

Quick Take:

  • Single-family home prices held relatively steady in December, while the condo market continued its year-long slide with double-digit declines in Alameda County.

  • Inventories dropped significantly as the year came to a close, with single-family home inventory down nearly 19% year-over-year.

  • Single-family homes continue to move quickly, while condos are spending considerably more time on the market.

Single-family homes hold steady while condos continue to struggle

  • East Bay single-family home market ended the year relatively stable

  • Alameda County (single-family)

    • Median sale price: $1,170,000

    • +0.47% year-over-year

  • Contra Costa County (single-family)

    • Median sale price: $839,500

    • –1.81% year-over-year

  • Condo market shows a different trend

  • Alameda County (condos)

    • Median sale price: $522,500

    • –19.55% year-over-year

  • Contra Costa County (condos)

    • Median sale price: $462,000

    • –7.60% year-over-year

  • Key takeaway

    • Ongoing divergence between single-family homes and condos throughout 2025

Inventory levels plummeted as the year came to a close

  • Holiday season brought a sharp decline in East Bay inventory

  • Single-family homes

    • Inventory down 18.70% year-over-year

    • Just 1,265 homes on the market at the end of December

  • Condos

    • Inventory declined 16.48% year-over-year

    • Only 512 units available

  • Inventory drops are typical during the holidays as sellers delay listing

  • Notable takeaway

    • The size of the decline is significant given the higher inventory levels seen through much of 2025

Single-family homes fly off the shelves while condos linger

  • Single-family homes continue to sell quickly across the East Bay

  • Alameda County (single-family)

    • Average days on market: 20 days

    • 4.76% faster than last year

  • Contra Costa County (single-family)

    • Average days on market: 23 days

  • Condo market is moving more slowly

  • Alameda County (condos)

    • Average days on market: 42 days

    • 23.53% longer than last year

  • Contra Costa County (condos)

    • Average days on market: 33 days

  • Key trend

    • Buyers are acting quickly on single-family homes

    • Buyers are taking more time when purchasing condos

The East Bay ends the year firmly in seller's market territory

  • Market conditions are defined by Months of Supply Inventory (MSI)

  • California’s historical average is ~3 months of MSI, indicating a balanced market

  • Below 3 months MSI = seller’s market

  • Above 3 months MSI = buyer’s market

  • East Bay ended December as a strong seller’s market

  • Single-family homes

    • Alameda County: 0.8 months of inventory

    • Contra Costa County: 1.2 months of inventory

    • 20% year-over-year decline in both counties

    • Buyers should expect intense competition heading into the new year

  • Condo market

    • Alameda County: 2.2 months of inventory

    • Contra Costa County: 2.4 months of inventory

    • Inventory levels declined significantly from earlier in the year

  • Key takeaway

    • Both single-family and condo markets are now firmly in seller’s market territory

 

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