September '25 Deep Dive - East Bay
Ascend RE September 10, 2025
Ascend RE September 10, 2025
Median sale prices in the East Bay have declined for six consecutive months.
Inventory is rising as sales slow.
Listings are spending more time on the market.
Note: You can find the charts/graphs for the Local Lowdown at the end of this section.
For the sixth straight month, East Bay prices have posted year-over-year declines. In July, single-family home prices fell 2.08% in Alameda County and 6.56% in Contra Costa County. Condos saw even steeper drops, down 11.54% in Contra Costa and 16.00% in Alameda. That said, these declines are not accelerating—values are holding at a lower plateau, rather than sliding further each month.
The price softening is tied closely to inventory trends. More listings are lingering on the market, and fewer sales are closing. In July, single-family sales dropped 6.17% year-over-year, while active listings rose 15.68%. Condo sales fell 24.82%, while active listings climbed 9.48%. Notably, new condo listings were down 10.58%, a sign that sellers may be hesitating in this environment.
The East Bay has historically moved quickly, but that pace is slowing. In July, the average single-family home spent 16 days on the market in Alameda County and 18 days in Contra Costa, compared to just 13 days in both counties last year. Condos are experiencing even longer timelines—31 days in Alameda and 35 days in Contra Costa—up significantly from 19 and 24 days last July.
MSI tells us the East Bay single-family home market remains a seller’s market, with supply at just 2.1 months in Alameda and 2.7 months in Contra Costa. Condos, however, lean toward buyers, with 4.5 months of supply in Alameda and 4.2 months in Contra Costa.
The East Bay market is slowing, but not collapsing. Single-family homes remain competitive despite price softening, while condos are firmly in buyer territory. Sellers should price strategically, while buyers may find better value than in neighboring markets.
Recent
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Provided Courtesy of Ascend Real Estate
Provided Courtesy of Ascend Real Estate
Provided courtesy of Ascend Real Estate
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You’ve got questions and we can’t wait to answer them.