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October '25 Deep Dive - East Bay

Ascend RE October 11, 2025

October '25 Deep Dive - East Bay

The Local Lowdown

Quick Take:

  • In August, median sale prices increased on a year-over-year basis in the East Bay for the first time in six months.

  • Despite price growth, inventories remain elevated compared to last year.

  • Listings are still spending more time on the market than a year ago.

Note: You can find the charts/graphs for the Local Lowdown at the end of this section.

 


 

Median sale price growth returns to the East Bay

For the first time in half a year, prices in the East Bay ticked upward. Median sale prices for single-family homes rose 1.20% in Alameda County and 1.33% in Contra Costa County year-over-year. Condos were more mixed: up 2.04% in Contra Costa, but down 7.41% in Alameda. This marks a subtle but important shift toward renewed stability after months of softening.

 


 

While inventories are decreasing, they’re still high year-over-year

Inventory levels are easing but remain above last year’s totals. Active single-family listings were up 9.97%, and condo listings rose 11.67% compared to August 2023. However, fewer new listings entered the market—down 6.18% for single-family homes and 3.44% for condos—hinting that supply may finally start to normalize.

 


 

As inventory levels remain high, so does time on market

With more homes to choose from, buyers are taking their time. Single-family homes now spend 17–22 days on the market, representing year-over-year increases of 21–37%. Condos show greater variation—38 days in Alameda (up 58%) and 26 days in Contra Costa (down slightly).

 


 

The single-family market is a seller’s market, and the condo market is a buyer’s market

By MSI standards, East Bay single-family homes remain firmly in seller territory—1.9 months of supply in Alameda and 2.6 in Contra Costa. Condos, however, favor buyers, with 4.2–4.4 months of supply. This duality reflects a market recalibrating after a long stretch of volatility.

 


 

Bottom Line:

The East Bay market is finding its footing. Single-family homes are stabilizing with renewed price growth, while condos still offer opportunity for buyers seeking leverage and selection.

 

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