October '25 Deep Dive - North Bay
Ascend RE October 11, 2025
Ascend RE October 11, 2025
The single-family home market remains relatively strong, with year-over-year growth in most counties.
Inventory levels have normalized, dropping from their summertime highs.
Listings are still spending more time on the market compared to last year.
Note: You can find the charts/graphs for the Local Lowdown at the end of this section.
Single-family homes continue to perform well across most North Bay counties, with prices rising 1.29% in Sonoma, 2.47% in Marin, and 4.17% in Solano. Napa saw a decline of 8.67%, reflecting localized cooling. Condo markets showed typical volatility, with double-digit gains in Sonoma, Marin, and Napa—counterbalanced by an 11.43% dip in Solano. The market is moving, but in a patchwork pattern.
After months of buildup, inventory levels are returning to balance. Active single-family listings are down 0.73% year-over-year, while condo listings are up slightly (2.75%). The shift signals a healthier pace heading into fall as buyers and sellers adjust to post-summer dynamics.
Normalization hasn’t yet translated into faster sales. Single-family homes are spending 20–45 days on the market depending on the county, with Sonoma (46 days) and Napa (43 days) seeing the longest averages. Marin is the exception, with listings spending just 29 days—down 6% year-over-year.
Marin now sits at three months of supply—officially a balanced market. Neighboring counties lean more buyer-friendly, with 3.3 months in Solano, 3.9 in Sonoma, and 7.6 in Napa. Condos across all four counties remain solidly in buyer territory, ranging from 4 to 7.5 months of inventory.
The North Bay is settling into a healthier rhythm. Inventory is balancing, single-family prices are steady, and Marin stands out as one of the few counties achieving equilibrium—signs of a more sustainable market ahead.
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