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October '25 Deep Dive - North Bay

Ascend RE October 11, 2025

October '25 Deep Dive - North Bay

The Local Lowdown

Quick Take:

  • The single-family home market remains relatively strong, with year-over-year growth in most counties.

  • Inventory levels have normalized, dropping from their summertime highs.

  • Listings are still spending more time on the market compared to last year.

Note: You can find the charts/graphs for the Local Lowdown at the end of this section.

 


 

Single-family home values remain strong, while condo values remain volatile

Single-family homes continue to perform well across most North Bay counties, with prices rising 1.29% in Sonoma, 2.47% in Marin, and 4.17% in Solano. Napa saw a decline of 8.67%, reflecting localized cooling. Condo markets showed typical volatility, with double-digit gains in Sonoma, Marin, and Napa—counterbalanced by an 11.43% dip in Solano. The market is moving, but in a patchwork pattern.

 


 

Inventories are beginning to move throughout the North Bay

After months of buildup, inventory levels are returning to balance. Active single-family listings are down 0.73% year-over-year, while condo listings are up slightly (2.75%). The shift signals a healthier pace heading into fall as buyers and sellers adjust to post-summer dynamics.

 


 

Despite dropping inventories, listings are still spending more time on the market

Normalization hasn’t yet translated into faster sales. Single-family homes are spending 20–45 days on the market depending on the county, with Sonoma (46 days) and Napa (43 days) seeing the longest averages. Marin is the exception, with listings spending just 29 days—down 6% year-over-year.

 


 

Marin becomes a balanced market, while others remain buyer’s markets

Marin now sits at three months of supply—officially a balanced market. Neighboring counties lean more buyer-friendly, with 3.3 months in Solano, 3.9 in Sonoma, and 7.6 in Napa. Condos across all four counties remain solidly in buyer territory, ranging from 4 to 7.5 months of inventory.

 


 

Bottom Line:

The North Bay is settling into a healthier rhythm. Inventory is balancing, single-family prices are steady, and Marin stands out as one of the few counties achieving equilibrium—signs of a more sustainable market ahead.

 

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